From the outside Merkel is in trouble, first the UK and their Brexit strategy are coming down on her and ruining her plans for a fourth Reich, and now the leaders of EU Mediterranean economies are meeting in Greece to discuss a strategy to break the Banker Chancellor’s prized austerity measures, which, although beneficial to the German economy, are proving devastating to their neighbors to the South.

Not a problem, Merkel has handled far worse in her long tenure as leader of Germany.  But, can she survive an attack from without and from within?

After the bloody Bavarian July, she is facing pressure from within her own country over her refugee stance, and her statements of solidarity, with the refugees, are just making things worse.

The South German state of Bavaria is the Texas of Germany.  Hard working, wealthy, and more conservative than the rest of the country, the majority of Bavarians are not always fans of being a unified Germany, which is why Bavaria exercises their limited autonomy.  Bavarian leaders, led by Horst Seehoffer, a once Merkel supporter, have turned on Merkel, criticizing the open border policy.  The attacks by refugees on the Bavarian public only served to add fuel to the fire, igniting protests and anti Merkel campaigns all over the country.

Will Merkel fall?  She may not win the next election, but the Germans have a habit of being calmer than most.  Merkel has a strong grip on things, and, unless another catastrophe serves to exacerbate the situation, Merkel will continue to head the Chancellery, if only by the seat of her pants.